The Big Cycle: Macro Outlook

Tracking the Archetypal Rise and Fall of Empires using real-time debt market data.

                        1. The Rise
                        2. The Peak
                        3. The Decline
                        4. Crisis / Reset
                    

                                CN CHINA

                                US USA

Fiat Stability Index

SYSTEM CONFIDENCE HIGH

Hard Asset
                        Divergence: 1.76%

Measures trust in the current debt system versus hard assets like Gold and Bitcoin. A higher score indicates capital flight.

Cycle Positioning

                            USA: 65.8% (Peak to
                            Decline)
                        
                            China: 20.9%
                            (Ascending)

Positions shift dynamically along the gradient spectrum based on real-time fiat stress and geopolitical conflict signals.