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The Big Cycle: Macro Outlook

Tracking the Archetypal Rise and Fall of Empires using real-time debt market data.

1. The Rise 2. The Peak 3. The Decline 4. Crisis / Reset
🇨🇳 CHINA
🇺🇸 USA

Fiat Stability Index

SYSTEM CONFIDENCE HIGH

Hard Asset Divergence: -0.4%

Measures trust in the current debt system versus hard assets like Gold and Bitcoin. A higher score indicates capital flight to hard assets.

Cycle Positioning

USA: 64.6% (Peak to Decline)

China: 21.2% (Ascending)

Positions shift dynamically along the sine wave based on fiat stress and geopolitical conflict signals.

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